ONE-SIGNAL’s Historical Performance

Since its inception, ONE-SIGNAL has outperformed the S&P500 almost every year. Between 2005 and 2023, the S&P 500 returned on average p.a. 7%, compared to ONE-SIGNAL’s 26.15% return from our XPRESS package and  38.97% from our XPERT package. See our year-on-year trading results below.

XPRESS PERFORMANCE

Returns: 17.0% vs. 11.9% for the S&P 500 between 2010 and 2023

ONE-SIGNAL XPRESS provides a trading signal for the next trading day moments after the closing bell of the New York Stock Exchange. This ensures Xpress subscribers can leave their positions overnight if the signal remains unchanged. This is geared for investors seeking convenience and lower transaction costs.

ONE-SIGNAL XPRESS PERFORMANCE SINCE 1987
ONE-SIGNAL XPRESS Average Performance Per Annum
2005-2023 Historical Performance S&P500
Average performance p.a 22.06% 7.53%
Variance 0.011% 0.015%
Alpha (α) 0.255 1
Beta (β) 39.232% 28.208%
Volatility 0.1655 0.1952
Risk-free rate 1% 1%
Sharpe Ratio 1.694 0.335
Treynor Index 0.715 0.232

“ONE-SIGNAL was designed with the busy individual in mind. We believe that investing should not be the top priority, but rather take a secondary or tertiary position. That’s why we offer a streamlined investment tool, reducing effort, emotional challenges, and serving as the essential tool for successful traders.”

Clara Yalmanian, Head of Growth at ONE-SIGNAL

 

Clara Yalmanian
Co-Founder and Head of Growth

XPERT PERFORMANCE

Returns: 39.4% vs. 11.9% for the S&P 500 between 2010 and 2023

ONE-SIGNAL XPERT delivers a trading signal a few hours before the New York Stock Exchange opening bell. Positions are entered at the NYSE opening bell and closed at the end of the trading day. This enables a systematic approach and allows individuals to establish a trading routine. Traders must only open their trades, go onto their daily business, and close the trade at the end of the day.

ONE-SIGNAL XPERT Performance since 1987
Average Performance from ONE-SIGNAL's XPERT Package
2005-2024 Historical Performance S&P500
Average performance p.a 46.55% 6.700%
Variance 0.009% 0.015%
Alpha (α) 0.288 1
Beta (β) 23.009% 13.119%
Volatility 0.1465 0.1941
Risk-free rate 1% 1%
Sharpe Ratio 2.051 0.273
Treynor Index 1.306 0.404

2024 Outlook

“The capital markets are subject to a continuously dynamic change. Our task is to observe and analyze the forces causing these changes in the markets. After both a wait-and-see approach and, on the other hand, supportive actions in the stock markets, volatility fell to relative lows. We anticipate that those who have been on the sidelines, or funds that were engaged in other markets, will flow back into the market. This would lead to an increase in volatility in the market and greatly benefit our systems. We anticipate that 2024 will prove to be an exceptionally favorable year.”

Ara Yalmanian, CEO & Founder of ONE-SIGNAL

 

Ara Yalmanian
CEO and System Developer of ONE-SIGNAL

HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & VOLATILITY 

What influences ONE-SIGNAL’s performance, except for 25 years of extensive research?

What differentiates ONE-SIGNAL from other trading information providers?

ONE-SIGNAL was developed after numerous years of research on stock market bubbles and the behaviour of investors as individuals and in masses. The development of these bubbles is attributed to three psychological factors; greed, envy, and speculation. Conversely, fear, lack of confidence, and disappointment will cause these bubbles to burst.

Based on this, Ara Yalmanian developed ONE-SIGNAL, a non-discretionary system that applies the contrarian investing approach using sentiment indicators. The algorithm systematically analyses market sentiment to recognize emotions associated with bubble formations and predicts subsequent movements.

We believe that sentiment indicators are the best metric to systematically and objectively analyse stock market behaviour and predict price movements in every phase of the market. This is based on years of proprietary research and successfully testing our findings in the markets.

Due to our unique approach, the system pinpoints sentiment trends and follows them until the exaggeration phase, to then change direction strategically. We are the only trading signal software provider to purely rely on sentiment indicators. As a result, we promote a smarter trading technique and a more efficient overall trading strategy.

What influences ONE-SIGNAL’s performance, except for 25 years of extensive research?

ONE-SIGNAL benefits from higher market volatility. The latter implies falling prices of securities, which our system anticipates and therefore delivers SHORT signals.

Long/short investors can choose to follow these, or if they prefer long-only positions, they hedge their portfolios. Additionally, profits are reinvested, creating a compound interest effect. Our secret lies in identifying and capitalising on different sentiment cycles.

ONE-SIGNAL‘s performance is presented in accumulation, i.e. profits are not withdrawn, but reinvested. Losses are not covered externally, like the S&P 500. The system’s performance arises without leverage and cost structures and taxes are not taken into account, as these vary from investor to investor.

RETURNS

  Historical Performance Historical Performance S&P500
1987 70.67% 31.61% -17.75%
1988 15.81% 16.21% 8.51%
1989 28.06% 27.76% 28.36%
1990 30.39% 21.64% -8.19%
1991 28.82% 28.18% 27.77%
1992 1.95% 4.30% 4.42%
1993 7.47% 7.24% 7.14%
1994 -3.14% -1.71% -1.33%
1995 33.18% 25.83% 34.16%
1996 18.51% 23.17% 19.33%
1997 41.74% 82.45% 31.67%
1998 93.37% 189.24% 26.07%
1999 18.72% 208.28% 19.64%
2000 38.93% 246.40% -10.14%
2001 54.19% 266.37% -13.04%
2002 47.04% 302.27% -23.37%
2003 45.69% 97.74% 26.38%
2004 9.26% 48.06% 8.99%
2005 3.80% 27.87% 3.00%
2006 12.26% 20.26% 13.62%
2007 10.53% 70.69% 3.55%
2008 126.91% 61.45% -38.47%
2009 38.26% 134.27% 23.22%
2010 48.55% 52.98% 12.64%
2011 16.78% 165.25% 0.00%
2012 11.32% 81.34% 13.29%
2013 222.97% -5.95% 29.60%
2014 17.31% -1.55% 11.54%
2015 13.43% 18.77% -0.73%
2016 27.28% 34.64% 9.84%
2017 9.48% -0.82% 18.74%
2018 7.62% 44.97% -6.59%
2019 6.49% 8.25% 30.43%
2020 -4.16% 36.20% 15.76%
2021 16.39% 28.40% 26.61%
2022 15.06 72.21% -19.64%
2023 29.09% 16.52% 24.95%

VOLATILITY

  Historical Performance Historical Performance S&P500
1987 28.08% 26.84% 36.12%
1988 12.17% 8.44% 17.09%
1989 12.25% 8.47% 13.05%
1990 17.42% 16.94% 15.95%
1991 13.26% 13.00% 14.30%
1992 6.82% 6.33% 9.70%
1993 5.44% 4.59% 8.60%
1994 11.14% 6.62% 9.84%
1995 4.30% 5.56% 7.81%
1996 12.74% 8.97% 11.78%
1997 17.80% 13.99% 18.13%
1998 21.48% 22.00% 20.25%
1999 16.87% 17.77% 18.04%
2000 22.80% 18.39% 22.18%
2001 17.29% 20.81% 21.55%
2002 16.87% 12.65% 26.00%
2003 10.37% 14.51% 17.03%
2004 6.56% 6.29% 11.07%
2005 7.45% 6.50% 10.26%
2006 5.98% 4.30% 10.01%
2007 8.93% 8.95% 16.00%
2008 31.50% 24.18% 41.00%
2009 17.07% 15.89% 27.21%
2010 16.80% 12.17% 18.04%
2011 10.76% 14.67% 23.23%
2012 11.58% 10.49% 12.82%
2013 8.06% 6.22% 11.23%
2014 8.39% 12.38% 14.40%
2015 13.68% 6.80% 15.47%
2016 9.58% 9.21% 13.09%
2017 5.88% 2.36% 6.67%
2018 16.09% 11.78% 16.98%
2019 3.91% 8.82% 12.34%
2020 24.38% 13.50% 33.84%
2021 15.61% 14.53% 17.37%
2022 18.23% 19.76% 24.35%
2023 13.25% 12.14%
13.24%

Disclaimer: Performance figures are based on backtests, cumulative and vary according to broker costs. All profits are reinvested. Past performance is not an indication of future results. The content shown here is only for information and to illustrate the feasibility of trading systems. The content presented on this website does not constitute an invitation to follow the generated signals, nor an offer to conclude a contract or other legal transaction. The content may not be interpreted as an invitation to invest in the capital or financial markets or to trade financial instruments.

Historical Performance

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